Polyfactual Media

Prediction markets fundamentally changed how I approach decision-making. Here's how thinking in probabilities can transform your trading strategy.

A deep dive into historical attempts to manipulate prediction markets and the mechanisms that make such manipulation difficult to sustain.

The skills that make someone great at fantasy sports translate surprisingly well to prediction markets. Here's why your office fantasy league champion might be a hidden forecasting genius.

How increased liquidity creates cascading effects throughout the prediction market ecosystem, from price discovery to trader behavior.

While the memecoin graveyard grows ever larger, prediction markets continue to demonstrate staying power. Here's why utility beats hype.